Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 85.366355 95.400247 105.646536 116.861477 128.761032 140.981768 154.452133
2025-03-16 68.849084 83.154901 98.404889 115.746978 134.801798 154.990392 177.888291
2025-03-23 60.394894 77.244794 95.769996 117.396569 141.712097 167.989441 198.321434
2025-03-30 54.186053 72.935198 94.111680 119.386028 148.342603 180.132936 217.334446
2025-04-06 47.645519 67.509212 90.548433 118.632216 151.374981 187.841021 231.038455
2025-04-13 41.171894 61.550156 85.837808 116.069322 151.916931 192.386473 240.874512
2025-04-20 38.805112 60.400085 86.660305 119.842428 159.659386 205.033884 259.821711
2025-04-27 36.069600 58.525311 86.394600 122.138731 165.529334 215.423788 276.114214
2025-05-04 32.318340 55.022441 83.860984 121.464983 167.692446 221.365676 287.164530
2025-05-11 28.820974 51.578995 81.176756 120.409021 169.233386 226.450064 297.114305
2025-05-18 26.435920 49.476998 80.072947 121.204238 172.924982 234.006302 309.905871
2025-05-25 23.879734 46.929594 78.227295 120.927394 175.196383 239.792895 320.556050
2025-06-01 21.841866 45.016348 77.161658 121.626876 178.695728 247.111653 333.125468
2025-06-08 19.312613 42.159519 74.661571 120.342068 179.627110 251.271843 341.902124
2025-06-15 17.979241 41.041188 74.486846 122.053786 184.292515 259.944655 356.069207
2025-06-22 16.855935 40.164213 74.587850 124.086212 189.337134 269.069361 370.783376
2025-06-29 15.022300 37.960102 72.674326 123.315343 190.720478 273.642914 379.965691
2025-07-06 12.869384 34.996571 69.496302 120.691933 189.606459 275.047342 385.236887
2025-07-13 12.541034 35.217667 71.028993 124.553819 196.940536 286.973324 403.360254
2025-07-20 11.867193 34.751836 71.490704 126.903591 202.283990 296.414787 418.458236
2025-07-27 10.544974 32.951201 69.831118 126.214197 203.577205 300.746631 427.268579
2025-08-03 9.257802 31.071377 67.949909 125.133641 204.293593 304.310885 435.105267
2025-08-10 8.462567 30.086320 67.422120 125.947387 207.510712 311.024746 446.830036